Showing posts with label Heat. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Heat. Show all posts

Sunday, February 11, 2018

Who Are the Top Coaches in the NBA?

When you think of the top three NBA coaches who comes to your mind? Gregg Popovich, Brad Stevens, and Steve Kerr are some of the names most people think of. All three of these guys have proven for years why they are great and why they get mentioned in this group. Of course, I like these guys but I also think there are two other coaches who are close behind and one who belongs in the top three. Before I get to them, let's take a little closer look at Pop, Stevens, and Kerr and how they got their start and what makes them so special on the sidelines.

Gregg Popovich
Pop has been on basketball sidelines since 1973 when he got his first assistant coaching job with Air Force which led to his first head coaching job in 1979 with Pomona-Pitzer. During his time at Pomona he became a close friend with Larry Brown who was then the head coach at the University of Kansas. Pop actually took the '85-86 season off and volunteered to learn as an assistant under Brown at Kansas. When Brown became the head coach of the San Antonio Spurs in 1988 he hired Popovich as his lead assistant coach. Brown and Pop coached the Spurs until the 1992 season when the entire coaching staff was fired, Popovich joined the Warriors as an assistant under Don Nelson during the '92 season.

In '94 Popovich returned to the Spurs as the General Manager and Vice President of Basketball Operations after Peter Holt purchased the organization. When the Spurs started out the 1996 season with a record of 3-15, Pop fired the coach and became the coach himself. This would turn out to be a franchise altering move. A handful of major injuries helped the Spurs to win the NBA Lottery and draft Tim Duncan. Pairing Duncan with David Robinson the Spurs turned the franchise around and won 56 games in Duncan's rookie year and Pop's first full season as head coach. Drafting Duncan and Pop being the coach completely turned the franchise around, the Spurs have made the playoffs every year since drafting Duncan in '97. They would win their first NBA title in 1999 followed by titles in 2003, 2005, 2007, and 2014. Pop has been named the Coach of the Year three times and is only the second coach to win 900 games with one franchise.

So what makes Popovich so great? He is an unbelievable developer of players, with the Spurs being so good for so long they are always drafting at the end of the first round. Manu Ginobili was drafted at the end of the second round and Tony Parker was a late first round pick but both of these players became possible hall of fame players under Pop. Last year LaMarcus Aldridge was unhappy and wanted to be traded, in the off-season Pop and Aldridge sat down and talked it out. Popovich made some changes and the Spurs are one of the best teams in the league and Aldridge is an All-Star. Pop knows his players and knows how to get the most out of them, he runs a great system and isn't afraid to make changes if he feels he needs to. Popovich is not only one of the best coaches right now but is also one of the greatest coaches of all time.

Brad Stevens
Brad Stevens got into coaching with a pretty strange story, in 2000 he was offered the opportunity to volunteer in the Butler basketball office. He was offered a low-paying administrative position as coordinator of basketball operations under then-coach Thad Matta. "Stevens was just a hungry young kid that was desperate to get into coaching. He had a great passion and was willing to take a risk to get into coaching" Matta would say a fee years later. Stevens was promoted to a full-time assistant coach and became active in every aspect of the game, skill instruction, game prep, in-game coaching, and recruiting. In 2007, Stevens was named the head coach at Butler and became the second youngest coach in Division I basketball. He turned Butler into a relevant basketball program and took them to heights they never imagined. They went 27-3 in his first season and won the Horizon League to earn a bid into the 2008 NCAA tournament. In Stevens six seasons Butler made the NCAA Tournament five times and made the Final twice.

In 2013, Stevens made the jump to the NBA and became the coach of the Boston Celtics. Following a rocky start to this career Stevens has turned the Celtics in a perennial playoff team and a Finals contender the last two seasons. In the 2017 off-season his Butler past helped the Celtics land one of the biggest free agents, Gordon Hayward.

Stevens and Popovich have one big similarity, they both usually have a calm demeanor. Of course they will both get upset depending what is happening on the court but they usually have a very stoic mood. Stevens background as a Butler assistant helped his shape his skills in play development and play calling. He spends a lot of time analyzing game film and preparing game plans for each opponent. Stevens likes to use stats to help motivate his team, if they are playing poorly on defense he will pull up stats showing what is happening and how they can fix it. His teams are built as a team instead of around individuals, all of his guys buy in and play together as a unit. He is one of the best x's and o'x coaches and this is a major factor for him.

Steve Kerr
Unlike Popovich and Stevens, Kerr played in the league and played on some of the best teams in NBA history with MJ. He was a 5 time NBA champion during his playing career and was a great 3 point shooter. He played 17 years gaining valuable experience playing with MJ, Tim Duncan and David Robinson, and Shaq to name some of his teammates. After his playing career, he became a TV analyst for a few years before becoming the general manager of the Phoenix Suns. In 2010, Kerr stepped down as GM and took a few years off from the spotlight until 2014. 

In 2014 Kerr became the head coach of the Golden State Warriors which has worked out fairly well for him. Kerr used elements from his playing days in Chicago under Phil Jackson, elements of Pop's spacing and pace, and the uptempo style from Alvin Gentry when he was the coach of the Suns. In Kerr's first season the Warriors went 67-15, winning 60+ games would become an every year occurrence for this organization. But with players like Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and later Kevin Durant, Kerr walked into a pretty good situation. 

Kerr had experiences that Pop and Stevens did not have with his playing past. When Kerr was hired as the Warriors coach he had a great foundation in place but he does a great job keeping egos in check. Having some of the best players in the NBA is not easy, there is only one ball and most guys think they should be the one handling it the most. Kerr has earned his players trust and they have bought into his system and it has worked beautifully. Playing on those early Bulls teams surely helped Kerr work with these players and help build his coaching system. He played under coaches like Phil Jackson and Pop but he didn't just play he paid attention and learned underneath them as well. 

There is a little background on Pop, Stevens, and Kerr who most NBA people would say are the top three coaches in the NBA. In my opinion I would put Pop and Stevens in the top three but would add another name instead of Kerr. Before I get to that name I have another coach who is really good and doesn't get enough love.

Quin Snyder
Quin Snyder got his basketball career started as a point guard for Duke University in the mid 1980s. After he graduated from Duke he went back to earn his MBA, while he was working on his graduate degree he joined the Los Angeles Clippers as an assistant. After he completed his degree, Snyder joined the Duke coaching staff as an assistant coach. Being an assistant for Duke, gave Snyder the opportunity to work under Coach K. In 1999, Snyder accepted the head coaching position at the University of Missouri. After a great start with the Tigers things became rocky at the University with recruiting violations and poor on court performance. Snyder resigned in 2006 but he couldn't stay away from basketball and became the head coach of the Austin Toros of the NBA D-league. He was extremely successful despite constant roster turnover. From 2010-2014, Snyder worked for four different organizations including a Russian team. 

In 2014, Snyder became the head coach of the Utah Jazz. During his first three seasons the team has made the playoffs only once but they reached the Western Conference semifinals. During his first three seasons he had a roster built around Gordon Hayward but the front office has never done Snyder many favors. Hayward left for the same reason, the Jazz just brought back the same players year after year after year even though everyone knew it wasn't working. It also seems like the Jazz are a franchise cursed with injuries, Dante Exum, Rudy Gobert, and Rodney Hood all missed a lot of time during Snyder's first three seasons but he has constantly been around .500.

Snyder builds his team around defense and it is evident when you look at the stats of previous Jazz teams. They are constantly in the top 10 for defensive metrics and this season is more of the same. Snyder's coaching background with Missouri, in the D-League, and in Europe have shaped his coaching philosophy. Other NBA teams want to play uptempo and shoot a ton of three's but Snyder realizes he doesn't have that type of team in Utah. With Gobert at center he has built his tactics around him, play good hard defense, rebound, and use set plays on the offense. He knows he doesn't have great three point shooters so why waste your offensive possessions with them. I think Snyder is a very good coach and is incredibly underrated. 

Erik Spoelstra
Spoelstra played in college for the University of Portland and was their starting point guard for four years. After graduating Spo was a player/assistant coach for a German professional team until 1995 when he was offered a job with the Miami Heat. He started on the ground floor with the Heat as the video coordinator in 1995 and then became an assistant coach/video coordinator in '97. In '99, Spo became assistant coach/advance scout before being promoted to assistant coach/director of scouting in 2001. He basically held every job for the Heat until 2008.

In 2008, Spoelstra finally got his shot when head coach Pat Riley stepped down and Spo was named head coach. His first season was a successful one, when he led the Heat to the playoffs, considering the previous year the Heat were 15-67. In 2010, the Heat brought in LeBron James and Chris Bosh to join Dwayne Wade and form a big three. Despite early season struggles the Heat made the NBA Finals losing to the Mavericks. The Heat would go on to win the 2012 and 2013 NBA Finals but lost the 2014 Finals. The Heat and Spoelstra played in four straight NBA Finals until LeBron left following the 2014 season. Spo had to learn how to deal with the egos of his superstar team just like Kerr did but unlike Kerr Spoelstra did not have the experience of playing with superstars like MJ and Duncan. 

After LeBron left the Heat have not experienced the success they had during the 2010-2014 seasons but no one expected them to. Looking at the roster now you would not recognize many of the names but the organization keeps on winning and most of that winning comes directly from Spoelstra. Last season the team got off to a dreadful 11-30 start but turned it around and finished 30-11 to finish the season at 41-41 and just barely missing the playoffs. This season the Heat are 30-26 with a team of Hassan Whiteside and Goran Dragic are the only big name players if you consider those two guys big names. Spoelstra finds himself in the same situation as Quin Snyder, with a front office not doing much to help out the coach. 

Spoelstra's background in video coordination, assistant coaching, and scouting have built his head coaching style. During LeBron's tenure in Miami players complained about the amount of work Spo required from his players. Spo demands a lot out of his players in practice because he believes if you practice hard it will show during games. The Heat have dealt with major injuries this season and Spoelstra preaches the "next man up" mantra and finds ways to help these guys be successful. He is interested in how his players are doing and working with them on the little details to get better. Spoelstra's in-season adjustments have led to success for the Heat.

I would put Spoelstra in the top three with Popovich and Stevens. He has been successful with the Heat before, during, and after the LeBron years. He has a background unlike most coaches and it prepared him for most situations he will encounter as a head coach. I think Kerr is a great coach but he had a pretty good situation when he joined Golden State, Spo worked with Riley's old team then LeBron came and he had to work with that, then LeBron left and he is building his own team now. Spoelstra is working with what the front office has given him and it is not a whole lot, they have made some really bad signings but Spo keeps going. He won't win 60+ games a season or win the coach of the year but take a look past the stats and Spoelstra deserves his place among the top NBA coaches.

Thursday, January 25, 2018

Is LeBron an Android? What TV Character is Comparable to his Career?

LeBron James just became the 7th and youngest NBA player to surpass 30,000 points for his career; he is one of the most polarizing celebrities ever. Ask ten of your friends and I bet you get five who love him and five who hate him, there is no middle ground when talking about LeBron. This got me thinking just how incredible his career has been. I did some research and what I found blew me away. It also got me thinking, is LeBron even human or is he an android? If we were to compare him to a fictional character who would it possibly be?

Career Stats
LeBron is in his 15th NBA career which started all the way back in 2003 when he was the #1 overall pick by his hometown Cleveland Cavaliers. Not many players last 10 years, let alone 15. Being a professional athlete is not easy on your body and most guys wear down over their career but not LeBron. Most players get better in their early seasons and begin to slow down as they get older and the game passes them by. LeBron had a similar progression but he has never slowed down:
      -Season A: 74 games, 37.8 minutes per game, 54.8% field goal, 36.3% from 3, 8.6 rebounds per game, 8.7 assists, and 26.4 points
      -Season B: 79 games, 39.5 mpg, 41.7 FG %, 29.3 3P %, 5.5 rebounds,  5.9 assists, and 20.9 points
      -Season C: 79 games, 38.8 mpg, 51 FG %, 33 3P%, 7.5 rebounds, 7 assists, and 26.7 points

Which season do you think is his rookie season versus his 8th season versus his 14th season? Option A is year 14, option B is his rookie year, and option C is year 8. He is basically playing the same number of minutes per game every year and the other categories have gone up as well. It's absolutely insane to look at, for reference I looked up MJs stats from his 14th season:
      -60 games, 34.9 mpg, 41.6 FG%, 18.9 3P %, 5.7 rebounds, 5.2 assists, and 22.9 points.

As far as comparing their 14th season, LeBron is blowing MJ out of the water. Breaking LeBron's numbers down into 3 categories, years 1-5, years 6-10, and years 11- 14 is even more impressive

Years 1-5 Averages: 78 games, 41 mpg, 46 FG%, 32 3P%, 6.9 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and 27.4 points
Years 6-10 Averages: 75 games, 38 mpg, 51.9 FG%, 35.5 3P%,  7.6 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 27.7 points
Years 11-14 Averages: 74 games, 37 mpg, 53.1 FG%, 35.2 3%, 7.3 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 26 points

Those are just his regular season numbers, he has been in the playoffs every year since 05-06 which adds up to 217 games and he averages 42.1 mpg. After looking at all these stats I would put LeBron's android percentage at 72%. It's incredible what he has been able to do and we may never see anything like it. (A hint for his fictional character comparison: she is from one of the most popular TV shows and has been going for 14 seasons.)

Injury History & Composure
Athletes get injured, it's just a fact, and most guys suffer a major injury that can ruin a whole season or parts of a season. In the NBA it's almost guaranteed that you will suffer a major knee or ankle injury, it's just part of the sport. Once again this "fact" doesn't apply to LeBron James, he has never suffered a major injury. Sure he has missed games here and there with pulled muscles or just to rest but can you blame the guy? He's played in a total of 1,107 regular season games and 217 playoff games. The NBA season is 82 games long and the least amount of games LeBron has played is 62, every other season he is in the 70s and 80s for games played. Even Jordan suffered a major injury in 85-86 when he only played in 18 total games after breaking his foot. In my opinion LeBron has only made one major mistake in his career off the court and that was his choice to televise "The Decision" where he chose to leave the Cavs and join the Miami Heat. He has since come out and said that was a mistake and he would do it differently if he could. Sure he goes on social media and everyone dissects everything he posts but every athlete is on social media and who knows what is going through their minds. LeBron has never had issues with the law off the court and on the court he has only been ejected from a game once. ONCE! That is crazy for a guy who is constantly getting the other teams best and is usually getting hacked all over the court. He was anointed "The Chosen One" as a kid and was on the cover of Sports Illustrated in February 2002 when he was a high school kid. He didn't start the comparisons to Jordan so you can't blame him for that either. How many celebrities that have been in the spotlight for that long have had multiple incidents in society? LeBron seems like a great family man as he is always talking about his sons and attending their games. For this category I am 100% thinking LeBron is an android, you just don't see people in the spotlight this long with a clean record like he has. (Hint #2: Onscreen she is the biggest person on the show but, like LeBron, you never hear from her off screen.)

Changed the NBA
Up until "the decision" LeBron had some of the worst teams in Cleveland. In 06-07 he carried them to the NBA Finals with a team consisting of Shannon Brown, Daniel Gibson, Drew Gooden, Larry Hughes (STL reppin'), Zydrunas Illgauskas, Eric Snow, and some other scrubs. Needless to say none of those guys played in the NBA for a long time or made lasting contributions. These were the types of teams LeBron had since he was drafted by Cleveland in 2003 and he finally got sick of it. He 2010 he made "The Decision" to join the Miami Heat and form the modern day super team with Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh. I know there were super teams before but this one felt different and changed the way of modern basketball for better or worse. In 2016, Kevin Durant joined the Warriors to compete against LeBron because he didn't believe he could win a title anywhere else. In today's NBA if you don't have multiple superstar players you don't stand much of a chance against the super teams (which sucks and needs to change, a little foreshadowing to a future blog topic). LeBron changed the NBA and really altered multiple player's career courses, KD joined the Warriors, D-Wade has more rings and left Miami, it was a snowball effect. People will always blame LeBron for joining Miami but can you blame him? He is compared to Jordan and just imagine if he never won a ring, there was no way he was going to win with what Cleveland was surrounding him with, absolutely no way. He would have been talked about like this, "He was one of the best players ever but he never won a ring" which is a dumb argument (which I wrote about previously check it out here). Comparing what Durant did to what LeBron did is a joke to, KD joined a team of Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green, and a good bench (and I don't blame KD either). LeBron joined a team of Wade, Bosh, and a bunch of old washed up guys. I don't know if you can put an android number on this section but he literally changed the way a league is played. (Final hint: She has had a revolving cast of characters around her and she carries the show to big ratings and is extremely successful)

So did you guess the fictional character I am comparing LeBron to? It is Meredith Grey, played by Ellen Pompeo, on Grey's Anatomy. Before I dig to deep and start comparing them, I have never really watched the show but my wife loves it and tells me all about it and I have been in the same room when she watches so I know a good amount about it. Also if you have not watched the entire show I will try not to spoil it but you have been warned. Pompeo has been on Grey's since 2005 and starred in 305 episodes. The show has been extremely successful since it started and is still one of the biggest shows on TV today. Multiple characters have been killed off of the show (or written out) but not Pompeo, she is one of 4 people to be in every single episode and really carries the show. The show is literally named after her character. Meredith does complicated surgeries and saves lives while LeBron did the impossible and brought a title to Cleveland. There are very few shows who have as long a run as Grey's has had or if they do go this long they lose their luster. This is not so with Grey's; my wife comes home every Thursday and it's the first thing she watches. I would have no idea who Ellen Pompeo is if it wasn't for Grey's Anatomy and you still never hear from her off screen (except for this awesome interview she gave to the Hollywood Reporter. Kind of like "The Decision" but definitely not a mistake). Pompeo just signed a new deal that makes her dramatic TVs highest earning actress and the show will go on "as long as she wants to do it" says Shonda Rimes, the show's creator. In 2015, Patrick Dempsey who played one of the biggest characters on the show, decided to leave which became a turning point for Pompeo. In previous negotiations Dempsey was used as leverage against Pompeo, "We don't need you, we have Patrick." But when Dempsey left, Pompeo realized she was the star and she controlled the shows future. Like LeBron she has made a significant impact and helped change the landscape for dramatic actresses.


Both LeBron and Pompeo have had incredible careers and who knows when they may end. One thing is for sure we need to cherish them while they are here because we may never see anything like either of them again.













Thursday, November 9, 2017

The Case for Jahlil Okafor

Three weeks into the NBA season and there are numerous headlines and hot takes already: are the Cavs as good as we thought they were? How good can the Celtics be with Kyrie and without Gordon Hayward? What is going on with Jahlil Okafor and the 76ers? That last question really got me thinking and I wanted to see what is going on with Okafor and why he has completely fallen out of the rotation for the Sixers.

Jahlil Okafor was the #1 rated high school prospect coming out of Chicago in 2014, he was ranked ahead of guys like Karl Anthony Towns, Emmanuel Mudiay, D'Angelo Russell, and Devin Booker. He ended up choosing Duke for college and during his one season with the Blue Devils he put up solid stats while winning the 2015 National Championship. While at Duke he put his offensive skills to work, averaging 17.3 points per game, 8.5 rebounds, 1.4 blocks, and shot 66.7% from the floor. His player efficiency ranking was 30.7 which is top 60 all time in the NCAA and he won the ACC Player of the Year award. For a 6' 11" center his footwork and acumen around the basket was phenomenal. These are just 2 examples of his excellent footwork and play making ability.
Duke ran numerous offensive sets for and through Okafor which speaks to his offensive awareness. He was never a defensive stalwart but playing with Amile Jefferson, Duke was able to overcome those issues. 

Okafor was drafted 3rd overall by the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2015 NBA draft right in the middle of the Sam Hinkie "Process" years. During his first year, he saw 30 minutes per game and rewarded the Sixers, averaging 17.5 points, 7 rebounds, and a 17.1 PER rating and finished 5th in the Rookie of the Year voting. However, year two saw Joel Embiid return and Dario Saric come over from Europe. Both of these moves really diminished Okafor's role on the team. In year two Okafor saw his minutes per game drop to 22.7 and he averaged 11.8 points and 4.8 points. His PER rating fell to 14.8 as well. This is his third year in the league and through 9 games Okafor has only appeared in one game. So what caused this drastic change in his playing time and effectiveness?

The explosion of Embiid really hurt Okafor's role with the Sixers and the signing of Saric didn't help either. I also think the Sam Hinkie "Process" mentality is not great for players and Okafor is a prime example. The "Process" was all about losing (tanking) to acquire as many good drafts picks as possible and then turning those draft picks into top prospects in the draft. A downfall of this thinking in my opinion is you acquire as these picks and if one does not turn out or is not as good as you hope you just replace that player with the next guy. I understand the NBA is a business and there is no such thing as loyalty in sports (Kevin Durant...LeBron...Kyrie) but Okafor put up solid numbers when he got the chance. Is he a good defender? Absolutely not as you can see in this matchup against the Heat.
But he still has the offensive moves to play in the NBA; this is a great move against a really good post defender.

Okafor can still be a good NBA player whether he is starting or coming off the bench as a 6th man type. He is not a good defender or rebounder but pair him up with a good post defender and in today's NBA it will not make much of a difference. I mean Kevin Love is playing center for the Cavs and he is a horrendous defender (still love you K-Love).

So what happens next for Jahlil and the Sixers? He is wasting away on the bench and it is not helping the organization or Okafor's progression. He turns 22 in December...let me say that again HE TURNS 22 IN DECEMBER!!!!!! And this is his 3rd year in the league, he has proven that he can be an asset to a team. The Sixers cannot afford to let him rot on the bench and then have him walk away at the end of the year, in my opinion they have to trade him. The Sixers are one of the most mysterious franchises in the NBA when it comes to player management. Look at how they handled the Embiid situation or even worse how they have handled the Fultz debacle. Okafor is just another mystery when it comes to this franchise. The only problem now is what is his value? There are two types of teams I think the Sixers could move him to, a team looking to build and a contender looking for an offensive minded center. Teams like the Bulls and Hawks are rebuilding and have no hope for a playoff spot this season so why not trade for Okafor and start your rebuilding process around a young offensive center. Also remember Okafor is from Chicago so this could be another selling point for the Bulls. Contending teams that I think could use him are Boston, Miami, Detroit, Minnesota, and Oklahoma City. Boston, Minnesota, and Oklahoma City could use Okafor off the bench as a scoring center. Miami could pair him with Whiteside and Detroit could pair him with Drummond, the problem there is the spacing as none of those guys can spread the defense but they are both great rebounders and defensive centers.

I think Jahlil Okafor is a nice prospect for a team that is willing to make a move for him. He is not helping the Sixers at all and with a change of scenery, a new coach, and new game plan I think he could really flourish.

New Website!

The Going Off Topic is moving! The Anything But Credible Network has added the Going Off Topic blog to their network and even gave me my own...